Atletico Madrid VS Real Madrid Prediction 9th 2026

Atletico Madrid VS Real Madrid    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:09-01-2026 03:00 Friday

【Strength Comparison】
This Supercopa de Espana semifinal features 3rd-placed Atletico Madrid hosting reigning champions Real Madrid.
Atletico Madrid have been solid this season, with 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 19 matches. Their home form at the Wanda Metropolitano has been impressive, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss.
Real Madrid, the defending champions, have been dominant, with 15 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in 19 matches. Their away record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses indicates they have found success both at home and on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match slightly favors the visiting Real Madrid side. They have shown themselves to be the more consistent, talented, and in-form team compared to the sometimes erratic Atletico Madrid.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid shows that the teams have met 20 times in the past, with Real Madrid holding a clear advantage, winning 10 matches, drawing 6, and losing just 4.
The historical data suggests that Real Madrid have consistently had the upper hand in this fixture, and the upcoming match is likely to follow a similar pattern. Atletico Madrid have struggled to get results against the more dominant Real Madrid side.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are Real Madrid's ability to control possession and create clear-cut chances, and Atletico Madrid's defensive organization and their threat on the counter-attack.
Real Madrid have scored 41 goals in 19 matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their ability to break down the Atletico Madrid defense at the Wanda Metropolitano could be a crucial factor.
Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, have conceded 23 goals in 19 matches, demonstrating their defensive solidity at times. Their ability to frustrate Real Madrid and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks may prove to be the difference-maker, but it seems an uphill task given the visitors' recent form.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢1-2🔵 (High Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid over Atletico Madrid.
While Atletico Madrid have the potential to cause problems for Real Madrid, the visitors' advantage and their dominant performances this season may ultimately give them the edge. Real Madrid's clinical finishing, possession-based game, and defensive organization could prove too much for the outmatched Atletico Madrid.
I have high confidence in this prediction, as Real Madrid's performances this season and their head-to-head record against Atletico Madrid indicate they are a class above their opponents, and Atletico Madrid's results do not bode well for their chances of securing a positive result.
A 2-1 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams, with Real Madrid leaving the Wanda Metropolitano with a hard-fought victory.